Seat status

Seat status is generally based on the two party preferred results of the last federal election. Each division is classified into one of three categories:

• Marginal seat: where the winning candidate obtained less than 56% of the two party preferred vote;
• Fairly safe: where the winning candidate obtained at least 56-60% of the two party preferred vote; or
• Safe seat: where the winning candidate obtained 60% or more of the two party preferred vote.

Seat status is generally based on the two party preferred results of the last election. However, in seats where Labor and the Coalition were not the final two candidates, the seat status is based on the two candidate result (eg marginal independent). The two party preferred figure refers to the number of votes received by the Labor and Coalition candidates after a full distribution of preferences. The two candidate preferred figure refers to the number of votes received by Independent and major party candidates after a full distribution of preferences.

Socio-demographic

All divisions are classified as being in 1 of 4 socio-demographic categories:

Metropolitan (divisions located in capital cities)

• inner metropolitan - comprised of well established built up suburbs; or
• outer metropolitan - containing areas of more recent suburban expansion.

Non - metropolitan (divisions located outside capital cities)

• provincial - divisions with a majority of enrolment in major provincial cities, or in non-metropolitan urban conglomerates; or
• rural - divisions without a majority of enrolment in major provincial cities.

Classifications of divisions

NEW SOUTH WALES

Code	Division	Socio-Demographic Classification	Seat Status
BANK	Banks	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
BART	Barton	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	ALP
BENN	Bennelong	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
BERO	Berowra	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	LP
BLAX	Blaxland	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
BRFD	Bradfield	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	LP
CALA	Calare	Rural	Safe	IND
CHAR	Charlton	Provincial	Safe	ALP
CHIF	Chifley	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
COOK	Cook	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	LP
COWP	Cowper	Rural	Marginal	NP
CUNN	Cunningham	Provincial	Safe	ALP
DOBE	Dobell	Provincial	Marginal	LP
EMON	Eden-Monaro	Rural	Marginal	LP
FARR	Farrer	Rural	Marginal	LP
FOWL	Fowler	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
GILM	Gilmore	Rural	Safe	LP
GRAY	Grayndler	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
GREE	Greenway	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
GWYD	Gwydir	Rural	Safe	NP
HUGH	Hughes	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	LP
HUME	Hume	Rural	Fairly Safe	LP
HUNT	Hunter	Rural	Safe	ALP
KSMI	Kingsford-Smith	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	ALP
LIND	Lindsay	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
LOWE	Lowe	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
LYNE	Lyne	Rural	Safe	NP
MACA	Macarthur	Rural	Fairly Safe	LP
MACK	Mackellar	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	LP
MACQ	Macquarie	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
MITC	Mitchell	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	LP
NEWC	Newcastle	Provincial	Fairly Safe	ALP
NENG	New England	Rural	Fairly Safe	IND
NSYD	North Sydney	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	LP
PAGE	Page	Rural	Marginal	NP
PARK	Parkes	Rural	Fairly Safe	NP
PARR	Parramatta	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
PATE	Paterson	Rural	Marginal	LP
PROS	Prospect	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
REID	Reid	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
RICH	Richmond	Rural	Marginal	NP
RIVE	Riverina	Rural	Safe	NP
ROBE	Robertson	Provincial	Fairly Safe	LP
SHOR	Shortland	Provincial	Fairly Safe	ALP
SYDN	Sydney	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
THRO	Throsby	Provincial	Safe	ALP
WARR	Warringah	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	LP
WATS	Watson	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
WENT	Wentworth	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
WERR	Werriwa	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	ALP

VICTORIA

Code	Division	Socio-Demographic Classification	Seat Status
ASTO	Aston	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
BALL	Ballarat	Provincial	Marginal	ALP
BATM	Batman	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
BEND	Bendigo	Provincial	Marginal	ALP
BRUC	Bruce	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
BURK	Burke	Rural	Marginal	ALP
CALW	Calwell	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
CASE	Casey	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
CHIS	Chisholm	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
CORA	Corangamite	Provincial	Marginal	LP
CORI	Corio	Provincial	Fairly Safe	ALP
DEAK	Deakin	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
DUNK	Dunkley	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
FLIN	Flinders	Rural	Fairly Safe	LP
GELL	Gellibrand	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
GIPP	Gippsland	Rural	Fairly Safe	NP
GOLD	Goldstein	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
HIGG	Higgins	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
HOLT	Holt	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
HOTH	Hotham	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
INDI	Indi	Rural	Safe	LP
ISAA	Isaacs	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
JAGA	Jagajaga	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
KOOY	Kooyong	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	LP
LALO	Lalor	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
LTRO	La Trobe	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
MCEW	McEwen	Rural	Marginal	LP
MCMI	McMillan	Rural	Marginal	ALP
MALL	Mallee	Rural	Safe	NP
MARI	Maribyrnong	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
MELB	Melbourne	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
MPOR	Melbourne Ports	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
MENZ	Menzies	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
MURR	Murray	Rural	Safe	LP
SCUL	Scullin	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
WANN	Wannon	Rural	Safe	LP
WILL	Wills	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP

QUEENSLAND

Code	Division	Socio-Demographic Classification	Seat Status
BLAI	Blair	Rural	Fairly Safe	LP
BOWM	Bowman	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
BRIS	Brisbane	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
CAPR	Capricornia	Provincial	Fairly Safe	ALP
DAWS	Dawson	Rural	Fairly Safe	NP
DICK	Dickson	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
FADD	Fadden	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	LP
FAIR	Fairfax	Rural	Fairly Safe	LP
FISH	Fisher	Provincial	Safe	LP
FORD	Forde	Rural	Fairly Safe	LP
GRIF	Griffith	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
GROO	Groom	Provincial	Safe	LP
HERB	Herbert	Provincial	Marginal	LP
HINK	Hinkler	Rural	Marginal	NP
KENN	Kennedy	Rural	Safe	IND
LEIC	Leichhardt	Rural	Fairly Safe	LP
LILL	Lilley	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
LONG	Longman	Rural	Marginal	LP
MCPH	McPherson	Provincial	Safe	LP
MARA	Maranoa	Rural	Safe	NP
MONC	Moncrieff	Provincial	Safe	LP
MORE	Moreton	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
OXLE	Oxley	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	ALP
PETR	Petrie	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
RANK	Rankin	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	ALP
RYAN	Ryan	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
WBAY	Wide Bay	Rural	Safe	NP

WESTERN AUSTRALIA

Code	Division	Socio-Demographic Classification	Seat Status
BRAN	Brand	Provincial	Safe	ALP
CANN	Canning	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
COWA	Cowan	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
CURT	Curtin	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	LP
FORR	Forrest	Rural	Fairly Safe	LP
FREM	Fremantle	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
HASL	Hasluck	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
KALG	Kalgoorlie	Rural	Marginal	LP
MOOR	Moore	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
OCON	O'Connor	Rural	Safe	LP
PEAR	Pearce	Provincial	Fairly Safe	LP
PERT	Perth	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
STIR	Stirling	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
SWAN	Swan	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
TANG	Tangney	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP

SOUTH AUSTRALIA

Code	Division	Socio-Demographic Classification	Seat Status
ADEL	Adelaide	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
BARK	Barker	Rural	Safe	LP
BONY	Bonython	Outer Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
BOOT	Boothby	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
GREY	Grey	Rural	Safe	LP
HIND	Hindmarsh	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
KING	Kingston	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	ALP
MAKI	Makin	Outer Metropolitan	Marginal	LP
MAYO	Mayo	Rural	Safe	LP
PADE	Port Adelaide	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
STUR	Sturt	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	LP
WAKE	Wakefield	Rural	Safe	LP

TASMANIA

Code	Division	Socio-Demographic Classification	Seat Status
BASS	Bass	Provincial	Marginal	ALP
BRAD	Braddon	Rural	Marginal	ALP
DENI	Denison	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP
FRAN	Franklin	Outer Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	ALP
LYON	Lyons	Rural	Fairly Safe	ALP

AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY

Code	Division	Socio-Demographic Classification	Seat Status
CANB	Canberra	Inner Metropolitan	Fairly Safe	ALP
FRAS	Fraser	Inner Metropolitan	Safe	ALP

NORTHERN TERRITORY

Code	Division	Socio-Demographic Classification	Seat Status
LING	Lingiari	Rural	Marginal	ALP
SOLO	Solomon	Inner Metropolitan	Marginal	CLP