This fact sheet lists the seat status for all federal electoral divisions as a result of the 2010 federal election. In addition, the notional seat status for all electoral divisions in Victoria and South Australia is listed, these states having undergone a redistribution after the 2010 federal election.
The number of seats to be elected in the House of Representatives at the next federal election, including the number that each state and territory is entitled to, is determined by the Electoral Commissioner using official population figures.
The entitlement determination, made in September 2011, was that a total of 150 seats will be contested at the 2013 federal election for the House of Representatives. This is the same number as at the 2010 federal election. The number to be elected by each state and territory, also the same as at the 2010 election, is detailed in the table below:
State | Number of seats |
---|---|
New South Wales | 48 seats |
Victoria | 37 seats |
Queensland | 30 seats |
Western Australia | 15 seats |
South Australia | 11 seats |
Tasmania | 5 seats |
Australian Capital Territory | 2 seats |
Northern Territory | 2 seats |
Each electoral division is classified in terms of its seat status. Seat status is generally based on the two-party preferred vote (TPP) count undertaken at the previous federal election. The TPP count in each electoral division requires a full distribution of preferences to the leading candidates for the Australian Labor Party (ALP) and the Liberal or National parties (Coalition).
The AEC classifies seats as follows:
Following the 2010 federal election, a redistribution of federal electoral divisions was conducted in Victoria in 2010 and in South Australia in 2011 because seven years had passed since the last redistribution in either state. For both states there was no change to the number of electoral divisions to which they were entitled to. The redistribution processes redrew the boundaries to ensure similar numbers of voters in the electoral divisions within Victoria and South Australia respectively, in accordance with the Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. The new boundaries will come into effect at the 2013 federal election.
After a redistribution, the AEC calculates the notional seat status for each electoral division where boundary changes have occurred. The notional seat status estimates the margin that a party (candidate) would have won the seat by using 2010 federal election voting patterns and applying them to the redrawn boundaries.
These calculations will be used by the AEC's computers and virtual tally room at the next election, including on election night, to provide swings on a TPP basis. The swing is the difference between the performance of a candidate or party at one election in comparison to the other.
Historically, almost all of the contests for election to the House of Representatives result in the final two ('top two') candidates being ALP and Coalition candidates.
At the 2010 federal election this was the case in 142 out of 150 seats. The remaining eight seats were categorised by the AEC as "non-classic" contests in the electoral divisions of Batman, Denison, Grayndler, Kennedy, Lyne, Melbourne, New England and O'Connor, where the final two candidates were not ALP and Coalition. For "non-classic" contests, the count after all preferences have been distributed is called Two Candidate Preferred (TCP).
A further scrutiny for information (TPP count) is later conducted by the AEC in these seats for statistical purposes. This count notionally allocates votes to the leading ALP and Coalition party candidates using the next available preference on the ballot papers to show what the result of the count would have been had these candidates been the two leading candidates. State and/or Territory wide or national TPP swings can then be estimated for statistical purposes.
In the tables following, there are two lists each for Victoria and South Australia. The first table shows the 2010 federal election results and the second provides the states' post-redistribution notional seat status.
The following information is expressed in TPP terms. TPP calculations for "non-classic" electoral divisions are indicated by an asterisk (*).
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | 51.45 | 48.55 | ALP | M | 1.45 |
Barton | 56.86 | 43.14 | ALP | FS | 6.86 |
Bennelong | 46.88 | 53.12 | LP | M | 3.12 |
Berowra | 33.80 | 66.20 | LP | S | 16.20 |
Blaxland | 62.23 | 37.77 | ALP | S | 12.23 |
Bradfield | 31.82 | 68.18 | LP | S | 18.18 |
Calare | 39.26 | 60.74 | NP | S | 10.74 |
Charlton | 62.67 | 37.33 | ALP | S | 12.67 |
Chifley | 62.34 | 37.66 | ALP | S | 12.34 |
Cook | 37.34 | 62.66 | LP | S | 12.66 |
Cowper | 40.73 | 59.27 | NP | FS | 9.27 |
Cunningham | 63.17 | 36.83 | ALP | S | 13.17 |
Dobell | 55.07 | 44.93 | ALP | M | 5.07 |
Eden-Monaro | 54.24 | 45.76 | ALP | M | 4.24 |
Farrer | 35.49 | 64.51 | LP | S | 14.51 |
Fowler | 58.76 | 41.24 | ALP | FS | 8.76 |
Gilmore | 44.68 | 55.32 | LP | M | 5.32 |
Grayndler* | 70.63 | 29.37 | ALP | * | 20.63* |
Greenway | 50.88 | 49.12 | ALP | M | 0.88 |
Hughes | 44.83 | 55.17 | LP | M | 5.17 |
Hume | 41.28 | 58.72 | LP | FS | 8.72 |
Hunter | 62.48 | 37.52 | ALP | S | 12.48 |
Kingsford Smith | 55.16 | 44.84 | ALP | M | 5.16 |
Lindsay | 51.12 | 48.88 | ALP | M | 1.12 |
Lyne* | 37.55 | 62.45 | IND | * | 12.45* |
Macarthur | 46.98 | 53.02 | LP | M | 3.02 |
Mackellar | 34.28 | 65.72 | LP | S | 15.72 |
Macquarie | 48.74 | 51.26 | LP | M | 1.26 |
McMahon | 57.81 | 42.19 | ALP | FS | 7.81 |
Mitchell | 32.84 | 67.16 | LP | S | 17.16 |
New England* | 33.20 | 66.80 | IND | * | 16.80* |
Newcastle | 62.49 | 37.51 | ALP | S | 12.49 |
North Sydney | 35.94 | 64.06 | LP | S | 14.06 |
Page | 54.19 | 45.81 | ALP | M | 4.19 |
Parkes | 31.14 | 68.86 | NP | S | 18.86 |
Parramatta | 54.37 | 45.63 | ALP | M | 4.37 |
Paterson | 44.67 | 55.33 | LP | M | 5.33 |
Reid | 52.68 | 47.32 | ALP | M | 2.68 |
Richmond | 56.99 | 43.01 | ALP | FS | 6.99 |
Riverina | 31.83 | 68.17 | NP | S | 18.17 |
Robertson | 51.00 | 49.00 | ALP | M | 1.00 |
Shortland | 62.85 | 37.15 | ALP | S | 12.85 |
Sydney | 67.07 | 32.93 | ALP | S | 17.07 |
Throsby | 62.11 | 37.89 | ALP | S | 12.11 |
Warringah | 36.91 | 63.09 | LP | S | 13.09 |
Watson | 59.14 | 40.86 | ALP | FS | 9.14 |
Wentworth | 35.14 | 64.86 | LP | S | 14.86 |
Werriwa | 56.75 | 43.25 | ALP | FS | 6.75 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston | 48.24 | 51.76 | LP | M | 1.76 |
Ballarat | 61.70 | 38.30 | ALP | S | 11.70 |
Batman* | 74.91 | 25.09 | ALP | * | 24.91* |
Bendigo | 59.53 | 40.47 | ALP | FS | 9.53 |
Bruce | 58.12 | 41.88 | ALP | FS | 8.12 |
Calwell | 69.72 | 30.28 | ALP | S | 19.72 |
Casey | 45.82 | 54.18 | LP | M | 4.18 |
Chisholm | 56.11 | 43.89 | ALP | FS | 6.11 |
Corangamite | 50.41 | 49.59 | ALP | M | 0.41 |
Corio | 64.22 | 35.78 | ALP | S | 14.22 |
Deakin | 52.41 | 47.59 | ALP | M | 2.41 |
Dunkley | 48.98 | 51.02 | LP | M | 1.02 |
Flinders | 40.89 | 59.11 | LP | FS | 9.11 |
Gellibrand | 73.90 | 26.10 | ALP | S | 23.90 |
Gippsland | 38.55 | 61.45 | NP | S | 11.45 |
Goldstein | 43.53 | 56.47 | LP | FS | 6.47 |
Gorton | 72.16 | 27.84 | ALP | S | 22.16 |
Higgins | 43.25 | 56.75 | LP | FS | 6.75 |
Holt | 63.23 | 36.77 | ALP | S | 13.23 |
Hotham | 63.50 | 36.50 | ALP | S | 13.50 |
Indi | 40.06 | 59.94 | LP | FS | 19.94 |
Isaacs | 61.02 | 38.98 | ALP | S | 11.02 |
Jagajaga | 61.52 | 38.48 | ALP | S | 11.52 |
Kooyong | 42.45 | 57.55 | LP | FS | 7.5 |
La Trobe | 50.91 | 49.09 | ALP | M | 0.91 |
Lalor | 72.15 | 27.85 | ALP | S | 22.15 |
Mallee | 25.59 | 74.41 | NP | S | 24.41 |
Maribyrnong | 66.86 | 33.14 | ALP | S | 16.86 |
McEwen | 55.32 | 44.68 | ALP | M | 5.32 |
McMillan | 45.59 | 54.41 | LP | M | 4.41 |
Melbourne* | 73.30 | 26.70 | GRN | * | 23.30 |
Melbourne Ports | 57.56 | 42.44 | ALP | FS | 7.56 |
Menzies | 41.28 | 58.72 | LP | FS | 8.72 |
Murray | 29.65 | 70.35 | LP | S | 20.35 |
Scullin | 72.25 | 27.75 | ALP | S | 22.25 |
Wannon | 42.71 | 57.29 | LP | FS | 7.29 |
Wills | 72.64 | 27.36 | ALP | S | 22.64 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston | 49.33 | 50.67 | LP | M | 0.67 |
Ballarat | 61.70 | 38.30 | ALP | S | 11.70 |
Batman* | 74.80 | 25.20 | ALP | * | 24.80 |
Bendigo | 59.42 | 40.58 | ALP | FS | 9.42 |
Bruce | 57.71 | 42.29 | ALP | FS | 7.71 |
Calwell | 70.06 | 29.94 | ALP | S | 20.06 |
Casey | 48.14 | 51.86 | LP | M | 1.86 |
Chisholm | 55.78 | 44.22 | ALP | M | 5.78 |
Corangamite | 50.28 | 49.72 | ALP | M | 0.28 |
Corio | 63.47 | 36.53 | ALP | S | 13.47 |
Deakin | 50.60 | 49.40 | ALP | M | 0.60 |
Dunkley | 48.96 | 51.04 | LP | M | 1.04 |
Flinders | 40.86 | 59.14 | LP | FS | 9.14 |
Gellibrand | 74.13 | 25.87 | ALP | S | 24.13 |
Gippsland | 38.55 | 61.45 | NP | S | 11.45 |
Goldstein | 43.99 | 56.01 | LP | FS | 6.01 |
Gorton | 73.63 | 26.37 | ALP | S | 23.63 |
Higgins | 44.60 | 55.40 | LP | M | 5.40 |
Holt | 63.97 | 36.03 | ALP | S | 13.97 |
Hotham | 63.96 | 58.99 | ALP | S | 13.96 |
Indi | 41.01 | 58.99 | LP | FS | 8.99 |
Isaacs | 60.41 | 39.59 | ALP | S | 10.41 |
Jagajaga | 61.15 | 38.85 | ALP | S | 11.15 |
Kooyong | 42.55 | 57.45 | LP | FS | 7.45 |
La Trobe | 51.66 | 48.34 | ALP | M | 1.66 |
Lalor | 72.12 | 27.88 | ALP | S | 22.12 |
Mallee | 26.74 | 73.26 | NP | S | 23.26 |
Maribyrnong | 67.49 | 32.51 | ALP | S | 17.49 |
McEwen | 59.18 | 40.82 | ALP | FS | 9.18 |
McMillan | 45.79 | 54.21 | LP | M | 4.21 |
Melbourne* | 72.77 | 27.23 | GRN | * | 22.77* |
Melbourne Ports | 57.89 | 42.11 | ALP | FS | 7.89 |
Menzies | 41.35 | 58.65 | LP | FS | 8.65 |
Murray | 30.42 | 69.58 | LP | S | 19.58 |
Scullin | 70.53 | 29.47 | ALP | S | 20.53 |
Wannon | 44.34 | 55.66 | LP | M | 5.66 |
Wills | 73.53 | 26.47 | ALP | S | 23.53 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blair | 54.24 | 45.76 | ALP | M | 4.24 |
Bonner | 47.18 | 52.82 | LNP | M | 2.82 |
Bowman | 39.61 | 60.39 | LNP | S | 10.39 |
Brisbane | 48.87 | 51.13 | LNP | M | 1.13 |
Capricornia | 53.68 | 46.32 | ALP | M | 3.68 |
Dawson | 47.57 | 52.43 | LNP | M | 2.43 |
Dickson | 44.87 | 55.13 | LNP | M | 5.13 |
Fadden | 35.81 | 64.19 | LNP | S | 14.19 |
Fairfax | 43.05 | 56.95 | LNP | FS | 6.95 |
Fisher | 45.87 | 54.13 | LNP | M | 4.13 |
Flynn | 46.42 | 53.58 | LNP | M | 3.58 |
Forde | 48.37 | 51.63 | LNP | M | 1.63 |
Griffith | 58.46 | 41.54 | ALP | FS | 8.46 |
Groom | 31.47 | 68.53 | LNP | S | 18.53 |
Herbert | 47.83 | 52.17 | LNP | M | 2.17 |
Hinkler | 39.61 | 60.39 | LNP | S | 10.39 |
Kennedy* | 38.06 | 61.94 | IND | * | 11.94* |
Leichhardt | 45.45 | 54.55 | LNP | M | 4.55 |
Lilley | 53.18 | 46.82 | ALP | M | 3.18 |
Longman | 48.08 | 51.92 | LNP | M | 1.92 |
Maranoa | 27.11 | 72.89 | LNP | S | 22.89 |
McPherson | 39.72 | 60.28 | LNP | S | 10.28 |
Moncrieff | 32.51 | 67.49 | LNP | S | 17.49 |
Moreton | 51.13 | 48.87 | ALP | M | 1.13 |
Oxley | 55.77 | 44.23 | ALP | M | 5.77 |
Petrie | 52.51 | 47.49 | ALP | M | 2.51 |
Rankin | 55.41 | 44.59 | ALP | M | 5.41 |
Ryan | 42.84 | 57.16 | LNP | FS | 7.16 |
Wide Bay | 34.39 | 65.61 | LNP | S | 15.61 |
Wright | 39.85 | 60.15 | LNP | S | 10.15 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brand | 53.33 | 46.67 | ALP | M | 3.33 |
Canning | 47.81 | 52.19 | LP | M | 2.19 |
Cowan | 43.71 | 56.29 | LP | FS | 6.29 |
Curtin | 33.81 | 66.19 | LP | S | 16.19 |
Durack | 36.33 | 63.67 | LP | S | 13.67 |
Forrest | 41.26 | 58.74 | LP | FS | 8.74 |
Fremantle | 55.70 | 44.30 | ALP | M | 5.70 |
Hasluck | 49.43 | 50.57 | LP | M | 0.57 |
Moore | 38.81 | 61.19 | LP | S | 11.19 |
O'Connor* | 27.00 | 73.00 | NP | * | 23.00* |
Pearce | 41.14 | 58.86 | LP | FS | 8.86 |
Perth | 55.88 | 44.12 | ALP | M | 5.88 |
Stirling | 44.45 | 55.55 | LP | M | 5.55 |
Swan | 47.47 | 52.53 | LP | M | 2.53 |
Tangney | 37.68 | 62.32 | LP | S | 12.32 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adelaide | 57.69 | 42.31 | ALP | FS | 7.69 |
Barker | 37.12 | 62.88 | LP | S | 12.88 |
Boothby | 49.25 | 50.75 | LP | M | 0.75 |
Grey | 38.84 | 61.16 | LP | S | 11.16 |
Hindmarsh | 55.70 | 44.30 | ALP | M | 5.70 |
Kingston | 63.91 | 36.09 | ALP | S | 13.91 |
Makin | 62.20 | 37.80 | ALP | S | 12.20 |
Mayo | 42.65 | 57.35 | LP | FS | 7.35 |
Port Adelaide | 70.03 | 29.97 | ALP | S | 20.03 |
Sturt | 46.57 | 53.43 | LP | M | 3.43 |
Wakefield | 61.95 | 38.05 | ALP | S | 11.95 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adelaide | 57.52 | 42.48 | ALP | FS | 7.52 |
Barker | 36.99 | 63.01 | LP | S | 13.01 |
Boothby | 49.38 | 50.62 | LP | M | 0.62 |
Grey | 38.84 | 61.16 | LP | S | 11.16 |
Hindmarsh | 56.08 | 43.92 | ALP | FS | 6.08 |
Kingston | 64.55 | 35.45 | ALP | S | 14.55 |
Makin | 62.00 | 38.00 | ALP | S | 12.00 |
Mayo | 42.71 | 57.29 | LP | FS | 7.29 |
Port Adelaide | 70.91 | 29.09 | ALP | S | 20.91 |
Sturt | 46.40 | 53.60 | LP | M | 3.60 |
Wakefield | 60.53 | 39.47 | ALP | S | 10.53 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bass | 56.74 | 43.26 | ALP | FS | 6.74 |
Braddon | 57.48 | 42.52 | ALP | FS | 7.48 |
Denison* | 65.82 | 34.18 | IND | * | 15.82* |
Franklin | 60.82 | 39.18 | ALP | S | 10.82 |
Lyons | 62.29 | 37.71 | ALP | S | 12.29 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canberra | 59.15 | 40.85 | ALP | FS | 9.15 |
Fraser | 64.20 | 35.80 | ALP | S | 14.20 |
Electorate | ALP | LP/NP | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lingiari | 53.70 | 46.30 | ALP | M | 3.70 |
Solomon | 48.25 | 51.75 | CLP | M | 1.75 |
At the 2010 election there were eight electorates where the final two candidates were not the ALP and the Coalition. The AEC commonly refers to these as "non-classic" contests, and after preferences have been distributed for the two final candidates the results are described as Two Candidate Preferred (TCP). The divisions were Batman, Denison, Grayndler, Kennedy, Lyne, Melbourne, New England and O'Connor. The TCP results were:
State | Electorate | TCP (a) | TCP (b) | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NSW | Grayndler | 54.23 (ALP) | 45.77 (GRN) | ALP | M | 4.23 |
Lyne | 62.73 (IND) | 37.27 (NP) | IND | S | 12.73 | |
New England | 71.52 (IND) | 28.48 (NP) | IND | S | 21.52 | |
VIC | Batman | 57.86 (ALP) | 42.14 (GRN) | ALP | FS | 7.86 |
Melbourne | 56.04 (GRN) | 43.96 (ALP) | GRN | FS | 6.04 | |
QLD | Kennedy | 68.34 (IND) | 31.66 (LNQ) | IND | S | 18.34 |
WA | O'Connor | 46.44 (LP) | 53.56 (NP) | NP | M | 3.56 |
TAS | Denison | 51.21 (IND) | 48.79 (ALP) | IND | M | 1.21 |
In these electorates, a further scrutiny for information (TPP count) was also conducted for statistical purposes and is included in the TPP tables in this publication. This count notionally allocates votes to the leading ALP and Coalition party candidates using the next available preference on the ballot papers to show what the result of the count would have had these ALP/Coalition been the two leading candidates.
The divisions of Batman and Melbourne were part of the 2010 Victorian redistribution and have a revised notional TCP seat status as follows:
State | Electorate | TCP (a) | TCP (b) | Elected | Status | Swing required |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VIC | Batman | 57.75 (ALP) | 42.25 (GRN) | ALP | FS | 7.75 |
Melbourne | 55.91 (GRN) | 44.09 (ALP) | GRN | M | 5.91 |
Contact the AEC National Media Unit or the media liaison officer in your state or territory.
Please note: The terms 'seat', 'electorate' and 'electoral division' are used interchangeably in this fact sheet.